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its that time

When the entries on your site start disappearing, you know its time for an update.

I finally can take a breather. I’ve had tests and other stuff going on for about 2 weeks now. I can’t even remember how many updates to the site I’ve written only to not post them.

So far, school is going well. Operation 4.0 is on track. I got a 91% on my physics test (mean=59%) and a 95% of my chemistry test (mean 80%). I had a Geophysics I exam today and I think I did OK, but not perfect. I have a Mineralogy test on Tuesday. All labs are going OK so far.

I got my iPod replaced about 2 weeks ago. I was amazed at how easy the process went. I was in and out with a new iPod in about 15 min.

Ummm, that’s about it.

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Back to School

The fall term started today. The campus is a mad house. I cant wait for the freshman to start skippin class, getting drunk and dropping out so it will ease up a little around here. It seems like I’ve been out of class a lot longer than two and a half weeks.

I took the bus today. I took it because it gives me an extra 90 minutes of time to read each day and saves a lot of money. I also live near the bus terminal.

I’m between classes right now. I have two hours until my physics lecture starts at 12:20, then I have pretty much 3 straight hours of classes, then 2.5 hours off, then a three hour lecture from 6-9pm. I’m on campus 12 hours on Tuesdays. It isn’t as bad as the summer however, because I have days where I’m only here a few hours.

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CCCP ya later

The olympics have become boring without any Cold War rivalry. So far, the US is leading in the medal count as expected. I couldn’t help but wonder how would things be if the Soviet Union hadn’t broken up.

Here are the results…

As of Monday morning, the combined former Soviet Republics had 70 medals.

Russia	               38
Ukraine	               14
Belarus	               11
Georgia	                3
Estonia 	        2
Azerbaijan	        2
Kazakhstan	        1
Lithuania	        1

The US had 61. So, the Soviets would be in the lead 72-61. However, you’d have to cut their number back a bit becuase with only one team, you wouldn’t have as many competitors, especially in team events, so you wouldn’t be able to win as many medals. But even assuming you were to discount the number of medals by 10% (which I think is too big) they’d still be in the lead……assuming that there weren’t Americans who missed out a medal to someone who wouldn’t have made the Soviet team.

Behind the US right now in medals is China. Its really interesting to look at what sports we have won our medals in versus China.

The US has won the majority of their medals is Swimming and Track and Field. The Chinese have won in Table Tennis, Badmitton, Shooting, Fencing, Judo, and low weight class Weightlifting.

The whole notion of a medal count is sort of dumb. Some sports hand out medals like their candy. In swimming they just do different permutations of everything they can think of. Swim like this. Now do it longer, no do it on a relay. Now change your stroke. Now do a differnt stroke. Now combine your strokes. The same is true in shooting.

Soccer sucks up an enormous part of the intellectual and physical attention of athlets around the world, yet it only counts as one medal. They should weigh the relative importance of medals by the number of people that win the medals (ie: swimming individual events = x1, swimming relay = x4, etc) Its a pretty rough way to do it, but it would better than just raw events. It would also make the men’s baseball and basketball teams look even worse too, which is a good thing.

Another interesting thing I heard lately was the slowdown in the advancement in world records in track and field. Note the following records for men:

Events                            Year Record Was Set
High jump                                 1993  
Long jump                                 1991
Shot Put                                  1990
Discus                                    1986
Pole Vault                                1994
Hammer                                    1986
400 Hurdle                                1992
100 Hurdle                                1993

There are several explainations for this. 1) They test for steriods now and they didn’t in the 80’s when Eastern Europe did it like crazy. 2) There are physical limits and once people start bumping into them you should expect records to be broken infrequently and by small amounts.

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Ye Olde Update

I went to the Rennisance Festival this weekend. It was the first time I went a) in August, b) on Sunday, and c) when it was under 70 degrees. It wasn’t as busy or as hot as usual, which made it much more enjoyable. I’ll probably go back again before it closes.

There were no good movies opening this weekeend, so I didn’t go to the theater, but I did watch the Ike made for TV movie on the History Channel last night. It made Patton out to be a baby and De Gaulle out to be a total ass.

I saw a Samsung ad that plays durin the olympics that has Philip Glass music from Mishima. It was neat to see.

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Playing the percentages and Barry Bonds

Every so often I like to go off on baseball, in particular Barry Bonds. Seeing classes are now over, I thought I’d finish a post I wrote over the 4th of July.

The triple crown in baseball is having the highest batting average, most home runs and most RBI’s in a single season. It hasn’t been done since Carl Yastrzemski did it in 1967. Its has only done 13 times in the 20th century. Its a rare thing because home run hitters usually aren’t the guys with high batting averages. Even if you can do both (like Barry Bonds) you get walked enough that the RBI’s are had to come by.

Also, both RBI and BA have fallen out of favor in recent years as stats for good reason. RBI are very dependent on your team. If they guys ahead of you aren’t getting on base, then you can’t drive them in. Likewise, having a high batting average doesn’t mean much if all your doing is slapping out singles and getting out the rest of your plate appearances. A .250 home run hitter who walks can be much more valuable than a .350 singles hitter. That being said, I think batting average can have some value as a stat when it is viewed in conjunction with on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

All this leads me to the subject at hand. In 2002, Barry Bonds lead the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. I have yet to hear any baseball writer notice this fact. He’s doing it again this year, too. I actually think is a more significant feat than winning the traditional triple crown. It means that in every plate appearance, you are getting the fewest outs, in every at-bat your are gettin the most bases, and you are also getting the most hits.

This got me wondering…..how many times has the average triple crown (OBP, SLG, BA) been won? It turns out its more frequent than the traditional triple crown, but still pretty rare, and the only reason why its more frequent is because a few hall of famers did it multiple times.

I went through baseballreference.com and came up with the following list of %TC winners:

National League
=================
Barry Bonds - 2002
Todd Helton - 2000
Larry Walker - 1999
Stan Musial - 1948
Stan Musial - 1943
Arky Vaughan - 1935
Chuck Klein - 1933
Rogers Hornsby - 1928
Rogers Hornsby - 1925
Rogers Hornsby - 1924
Rogers Hornsby - 1923
Rogers Hornsby - 1922
Rogers Hornsby - 1921
Rogers Hornsby - 1920
Honus Wagner - 1909
Honus Wagner - 1908
Honus Wagner - 1907
Honus Wagner - 1904


American League
=================
Carl Yazstramski - 1967
Frank Robinson - 1966
Ted Williams - 1957
Ted Williams - 1948
Ted Williams - 1947
Ted Williams - 1942
Ted Williams - 1941
Jimmie Foxx - 1938
Lou Gehrig - 1934
Babe Ruth - 1924
Ty Cobb - 1917
Ty Cobb - 1914
Ty Cobb - 1909
George Stone - 1906
Nap Lajoie - 1904
Nap Lajoie - 1901

Things of note:

  • Every non-active player on the list is in the hall of fame, except for George Stone who won it in 1906.
  • Babe Ruth only won it once.
  • Winning the traditional triple crown doesn’t necessairly mean you’ll with the average triple crown. Mickey Mantle won the triple crown in 1956, but was second in on-base percentage (to Ted Williams).
  • The greatest season ever for OPS+BA was Babe Ruths 1920 season. He had a 1.755: OBP=.532, BA=.376, SLG=.847. He didn’t win the %TC because he was fourth in batting average. Barry Bonds came close in 2002. OPS+BA=1.751: BA = .370, SLG = .799, OBP= .582. As of this morning he’s sitting at OPS+BA=.353+1.373=1.726.