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General

Mail Bag

In the comments of one of my previous posts, Scott Fitchet wrote

“I have no idea where this project will go” … I hope you pick some kind of angle for your “show” that has some kind of positive affect on the world. “here is a photograph/video of everywhere on earth” is just “i touched it first”. what else do you have in mind besides the fun tech aspect?

I’m responding here just because my answer was getting too long (and Scott went to Hamline so I figure I should post it where he will see it…..)

When I say I have no idea where this project will go, I’m don’t mean I have no idea of what I want to do, but rather I have no idea how big or involved it could get.

I have a very clear idea of what I want to do. The technology is not going to be a focus; it’s just a means to accomplish what I want to do. I talk about it a lot here because it’s a planning issue I have to deal with, but hopefully everything will be transparent to the people who read the site.

First, I should make clear that I’m not doing this to make a positive effect on the world. Maybe I will, but that isn’t my motivation. I’m doing first and foremost because I want to see the world. In particular, I want to see it in a different way than I have before. Prior to any plans of making a website or doing video, that was the original motivation.

The idea for the project isn’t all that unique. There certainly isn’t an “I touched it first” aspect to what I’m doing. I think I’m just going to take it to another level from what has been done in the past. It has been done before to a certain extent by Jim Rogers and Mike Pugh. I got a large amount of inspiration from The Jason Project, which I remember watching Tivo’d episodes from the National Geographic Channel. The Jason Project did live shows for classrooms on location from wherever they had set up their science camp that particular year. It was very interactive and even though it was aimed at children, I was fascinated at what they were doing and how they did it. It was some of the best television I’ve ever seen.

As I thought more about what I could do and what had been done in the past, the more I began to realize that I could really make something much more out of this than just a trip around the world. I think most travel shows like you see on the Travel Channel, are boring and predictable. They provide no depth, and really can’t, given the limitations of the medium. Most travel blogs are nothing more than “we did this today” summaries of what the travelers did that particular day. Not very educational.

I don’t just want to take photos of the Taj Mahal. I want to talk with other visitors, I want to talk to the groundskeeper, I want to talk to the guy who runs it, I want to talk about the history of it, and I want to talk about what it means to India, I want to see the places where most tourists can’t get to go and I want to see all the vendors selling cheap Taj Mahal souvenirs. I want to put up all the content that would otherwise make the cutting room floor of a travel TV show, as well the photos and thoughts of my time there.

I also think, in my humble opinion that I’m in a unique position to pull something like this off. 1) I have the means to do it. 2) I have some experience with international travel, so I’m not doing this totally green. 3) I have enough exposure to science that I could speak intelligently on such subjects. 4) I have enough exposure to business that I could speak intelligently on such subjects. 5) I have enough exposure to politics and international affairs that I could speak intelligently on such subjects.

There is a reality TV element to what I want to do also. I want people who will never be able to make such a trip to be able to follow along every day (or every few) and be able to communicate with me while I’m on the road. I want to be able to meet people from the website, eat dinner with them, and record what they have to say. I could also get people to travel with me for certain legs of the trip.

When I was in Argentina, I met the husband of the colleague we worked with from the University of Buenos Aires. This was a fascinating guy. He was an Argentinean of Swiss/Italian descent who worked for an Italian company which ran a water utility in Honduras, which he ran. Talking to him over the several times we had dinner was really interesting, and while I was I doing it I wished I had a camcorder with me to record it. It was exactly the sort of thing I wanted to put on the site.

If the project can gain momentum, I think there is lots of neat stuff I can do. I have no idea how many people would watch or follow something like this. I think I could get enough video footage to edit together something interesting for a cable channel on a regular basis. I could write a book. The primary motivation for all of that would be to cover the costs of the trip and allow me to go places where I might not otherwise get access. I could do interactive things with classrooms too. I think that would be fun.

But I’m not planning on the project gaining any momentum. If it does, great, but if it doesn’t, oh well. I think it’s possible to do something beyond just taking tourist photos. As with any project of this type, I’m probably the only one who can see the potential of this if it is done properly.

I do have one big concern. I don’t know if I can pull this off alone. I’ve been around the world alone before, but I did it in 3 weeks and had people to meet me at each stop. Even if I have people back in the US as support, I won’t always be able to be in contact with them. There are some issues as simple as working a camera by myself and trying to talk or interview someone that will be hard. It’s not like you can just ask someone to drop what they’re doing and follow you around the world for a year, even if all the expenses are paid. It’s not just being away from home for that long, it’s having no home at all for that long.

Anyway, this is a more fleshed out answer to what I want to do and why I’m doing it. It might not be totally coherent, but there it is.

Categories
General

JON-A-THAN!! JON-A-THAN!!

The Powerball Lottery is upto $340m. It is time to play.

Here is why…..

If you look at the odds on the Powerball website, your odds of winning the grand prize are 1 in 146,107,962. When making bets, what matters is the expected value of the bet. Example: How much would the payoff have to be to be $1 on a coin flip? Answer: $2. A that point you would break even becasue your expected value of each bet would be $1, or equal to the wager.

Powerball tickets are $1. What matters isn’t the total amount of the prize, because that amount can only be distributed over a period of 29 years. The exptected value of your $1 ticket isn’t over $1 when the prize gets to $146m, because the actualized value of the jackpot is actually much less, either in terms of the payout or factoring interest over 29 years, and taxes. Assuming the cash payout is 50% of the total amount of the pool, that is the point at which the expected value of your $1 purchase is over $1. It is now clearly above that.

When lotteries get a payout above the expected value of the ticket, they almost always end immediately because the number of tickets purchased is so great.

One thing I’m also omitting is the odds of multiple winners. This is a real possibility when this many people start buying tickets and I have no idea what the odds are of multiple winners, because you can’t know the number of tickets purchased before the draw, and you can’t know the number of unique numbers picked. This would also decrease your expected value of the ticket.

….but, when you get right down to it, its only $1.


(The title of this post is really really obscure. Bonus points to anyone who can figure it out. Its not the most direct reference to this topic)

Categories
General

Music Roundup

I’ve been running out of music. I got gigs of it, but I need something new. Help me here people.

  • I got the new Fiona Apple album, which is just a rerecording of the album that Sony never released. On the whole, I prefer the unreleased album. They just added more production and slowed songs down so you could understand the lyrics. There is one new song which is nice.
  • Kristen Dunst has a play list up on iTunes. She has “God only Knows” by Langely Schools Music Project as one of her songs. I told you she was adorable… (actually she’s probably a nut job for all I know. I don’t want to sound stalkerish)
  • On a somewhat related note, I downloaded the Elizabethtown soundtrack from iTunes (where I buy everything now). I’ve been listening to “Jesus was a Crossmaker” by the Hollies and “Shut Us Down” by Lindsey Buckingham.
  • I also downloaded some singles from Johnny Cash and Tom T. Hall that I didn’t have. I’m downloading some Hank Williams as I write this.
  • I’ve been trying to listen to artists I liked from the SXSW music download that was offered last year. They had a gig of free music from all the artists that were there. I did buy some stuff from Keren Ann, so who says free music wont lead to sales. I should also note that its hard to make a purchase decision after listening to a song for 30 seconds.
Categories
General

Trip Update

For those of you new to my website (and there are several), I wrote last January of my intentions to travel around the world once I finish my current degree.

I haven’t mentioned it much since then because there hasn’t been much to mention, but I’ve quietly been compiling plans for how and what I want to do. Most of it has been with regards to technology, but the trip to Argentina has got me thinking of how I’m going to pull this off and just what I need to do to get it done. It will be much more difficult than I first thought.

To recap for those not up to speed, here is the sort version of the plan: circumnavigate the globe and visit at least 100 countries.

The long version is much more involved. I want to create a document of my travels online. Text, video, audio, photos, everything. I want to do it as live as possible (which might be difficult depending on where I am). I want to use the site to meet people around the world and document all the people and things I experience. If possible, I’d like to take what I create and bring it to a different medium, like TV, but that would be just gravy. I want hours and hours of video, of which maybe a fraction could be used for other purposes. I want to talk about the science, politics and history of all the places I go in a depth that you can never see on TV. I fully intend to interview the Prime Ministers of Nauru and Tuvalu.

I’ve already reserved a domain name: everything-everywhere.com. It has a hyphen I know, but I thought it captured what I’m trying to do and it was available. I will need a team of support people back in the US who can work reservations for me, get my shipments, and manage the website. I also want to take a bunch of rock samples and have them sent back to the US as well.

I got some help already lined up here to help me while I’m on the road, but I’m sure I’ll need more. I haven’t even begun to make the website yet. I have no idea where this project will go, or how big it could get, but I’m not too worried. If nothing else, I get to see the entire world before I die.

…and that’s pretty cool.

Categories
Academia General

Please shoot me

I’m feeling in as bad a mood as I have been in, in a long time. I don’t know if that last sentence makes any sense, and right now I don’t really care. I got up at 4am to do my Isotope Geology assignment and its been downhill from there. I misinterpreted part of the lecture notes so I got one part wrong, and I forgot to print out the last page of the assignment. Here is the offending document for those following along at home.

I’m serioulsy doubting the wisdom of having gone down the academic path. Its not that I find anything hard, its just the mindless busy work you have to do in labs. Its not like we’re doing real lab work like you would do in chemistry. Its just labs for the sake of having a lab. I’d rather have another hour of lecture each week.

Top it off, I have some weird pain at the base of my tailbone, and I’m almost falling asleep on my keyboard.

There is a small, but very loud part of me, that really wants to throw in the towel, sell everything, and hit the road with no forwarding address.